Donald J. Trump won Merced County with 50.9% of the vote, ahead of Kamala D. Harris. 86,392 votes were counted. The party margin was a Republican lead of 4.4 points. Compared with the previous presidential election in Merced County that is loaded, the margin moved 15.0 points toward Republicans and the winning party changed.
Merced County leans Republican by 0.7 points compared with the nation (our partisan lean index, based on president 2024 75% + 2020 25%).
Merced County voted for the winner of the national popular vote in 6 of 7 presidential elections from 2000 to 2024. On average its margin sat 6.5 points away from the national margin.
In 2024, 86,392 votes were cast in the biggest race, which is 53.5% of the 161,465 citizens aged 18 and over in Merced County.
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