Donald J. Trump won Arizona with 52.2% of the vote, ahead of Kamala D. Harris. 3,389,319 votes were counted. The party margin was a Republican lead of 5.5 points. Compared with the previous presidential election in Arizona that is loaded, the margin moved 5.8 points toward Republicans and the winning party changed.
Arizona leans Republican by 4.1 points compared with the nation (our partisan lean index, based on president 2024 75% + 2020 25%).
Arizona voted for the winner of the national popular vote in 7 of 13 presidential elections from 1976 to 2024. On average its margin sat 11.5 points away from the national margin.
In 2024, 3,389,319 votes were cast in the biggest race, which is 64.9% of the 5,220,620 citizens aged 18 and over in Arizona.