Market insights, analysis and commentary covering equities, crypto, real estate, ETFs, commodities, currencies and the economy.
The Federal Reserve's broad US dollar index ended June 2026 at 120.92, up about 1% for the year, after a January low of 117.44 and a June high of 121.41.
Natural gas prices in summer 2026 are holding near $3 per MMBtu because record production is refilling storage almost as fast as last year, even as power demand rises.
Asset allocation by age in 2026: glide paths run from 90% stocks at 25 to 30% at 72, while bills yield 3.82% and stocks compounded at 10.02% since 1928.
The 2026 contribution limits are $24,500 for a 401(k), $7,500 for an IRA and $4,400 or $8,750 for an HSA. Saving the full amounts for 30 years at 7% can build over $3.4 million.
Semiconductor ETFs SOXX and SMH rose 88.1% and 64.5% in 2026 through July 2, but hold 25 to 30 stocks, with a 61% top ten weight and a 76 times earnings multiple.
SPY vs VOO vs IVV in 2026: SPY charges 0.0945% against 0.03% for VOO and IVV, and the cheaper funds returned 15.47% a year over ten years versus 15.35% for SPY.
How crypto is taxed in 2026: digital assets are property, gains are short or long term, and brokers now report cost basis on Form 1099-DA for 2026 purchases.
Bitcoin's first half of 2026 ended 33.1% lower at $58,559 with a 39.6% peak-to-trough drawdown and 51% volatility, while the S&P 500 gained 9.6%.
Gross rent yield vs cap rate explained with May 2026 data: Detroit yields 20.7% gross and Cleveland 13.6%, but taxes, vacancy and repairs cut those figures roughly in half.
The Austin housing market entered July 2026 with a typical home value of $421,326, down 5.7% in a year, softer rents and about 15,000 homes for sale.
U.S. home values were up just 0.8% year over year in May 2026 at $368,720, with 22 of the 50 largest metros posting declines led by Austin, Las Vegas and Dallas.
The U.S. national debt reached $39.3 trillion in June 2026, and gross interest on Treasury debt ran $867 billion in the first eight months of fiscal 2026, up 11.7% from a year earlier.
May 2026 PCE inflation rose to 4.1% with core at 3.4%, far above the Fed's 2% goal, so the funds rate stays at 3.50% to 3.75% and cuts move further out.
P/E ratio vs PEG ratio in 2026: Nvidia and Microsoft screen cheapest on PEG, Meta cheapest on P/E, and Alphabet shows how one-time gains distort growth.
The S&P 500 forward P/E stands at 20.1 as of June 26, 2026, above its 10-year average of 19.0 but well below the 23.1 reached in October 2025.
Micron fiscal Q3 2026 earnings: revenue of $41.46 billion, non-GAAP EPS of $25.11, fiscal Q4 guidance of $50 billion, and a stock that jumped 15.7% before easing.
Adobe's freemium AI strategy helped lift Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue 13% to $6.76 billion, yet ADBE is down 32.7% in 2026 as investors wait for proof of conversion.
Market sell-offs are routine: the S&P 500 has fallen 10% or more 20 times since 1975 and recovered each time. In 2026 the deepest drop so far was 9.1%.
Median retirement savings by state range from $150,000 in Massachusetts to $35,000 in Mississippi, against a national median of $86,900 for families with accounts.
After the SpaceX IPO, buying at the $150 day one open lost 0.9% through September 25, 2026, while waiting 60 days would have gained 11.5%.
Why stocks sometimes rise when unemployment climbs: in 2025 the jobless rate rose from 4.0% to 4.4% while the Fed cut three times and the S&P 500 gained 16.4%.
Investing instead of working takes about $2.2 million to replace the 2025 median household income of $87,460 at a 4% withdrawal rate, even with T-bills near 4.2%.
US inflation from COVID-19 to 2026: CPI fell to 0.1% in May 2020, peaked at 9.1% in June 2022 and was back at 3.4% in August 2026 as energy prices jumped.
How the job market moves stock prices in 2026: strong payroll reports lifted the 2-year yield and pushed stocks down, while the weak July report lifted them.
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